cons of the national popular vote plan

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cons of the national popular vote plan

5. Instead, it modifies the winner-take-all rule in a way its supporters say would assure that every vote will matter in every state in every presidential election. This would happen in the extremely unlikely situation where this candidate would win just for one vote in some . And finally, the Electoral College doesnt work today anywhere near how the Founding Fathers intended it to work when they created it back in 1787. Explains kimberling, william c., and dave leip's . Unexpected emergencies would be difficult to handle. 3. The National Popular Vote Interstate Compact (NPVIC) is an agreement among states and the District of Columbia to award their respective electoral votes to the winner of the national popular vote of the presidential election. When a popular vote is held for a national office, the election becomes more about platform issues than local issues. In the early 19th century, many states ratified an approach that would allow the candidate with the most votes in that state to be the winner. 4. A candidate could be elected without the popular vote. Yet, by May 2021, 15 states and Washington, D.C., had signed onto the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact. It seeks to be a bulwark against mass hysteria and the hysteria created by mass media. Robert Longley is a U.S. government and history expert with over 30 years of experience in municipal government and urban planning. In a closely contested direct popular election, every precinct across the country might require close examination, rather than a handful of states or precincts. It would be a national mandate to put someone in office, even if that winning candidate received less than 50% of the vote. Many people may feel that any major change in how we elect the president should be in the Constitution and not in a legal loop hole even if its legal and technically constitutional. Once effective, states could withdraw from the compact at any time except during the six-month window between July 20 of an election year and Inauguration Day (January 20). (LogOut/ But the national popular vote plan doesn't require a . Web. 12th Amendment: Fixing the Electoral College, What Is Majoritarianism? sale of united methodist church property. 1. There are logistical issues that are managed at the local level in each election. Presidential candidates have no reason to poll, visit, advertise, organize, or campaign in states that they cannot possibly win or lose; in 2016, 68% of presidential campaign visits took place in just six states. In the 2000 presidential election, Al Gore won the popular vote by more than 500,000 ballots, but George Bush became president by winning the Electoral College 271 to 266. You can find out more about our use, change your default settings, and withdraw your consent at any time with effect for the future by visiting Cookies Settings, which can also be found in the footer of the site. Longley, Robert. Actually the NPV Compact doesnt change one word in he Constitution and in fact only changes state laws. It would limit the influence of local issues in the election. List of the Cons of Using the Popular Vote 1. After the process, the President of the Senate reveals who has officially been voted in as President and Vice President of the United States. Even the minority party wouldnt be encouraged to negotiate because they could simply stall until the next election. A switch to the popular vote would eliminate the concept of a battleground state because the issue would be more on issues than states. And thats not how it should be in a democracy. Mayors, governors, and senators are all elected by a simple majority. If this happens many people in the red states will not feel that the change is legitimate even if its legal and technically constitutional. If a party knows either that it can't win a single elector in a state or has an easy road to winning all of them, it sends its resources to where it has a competitive chance.. National Popular Vote proponents argue that the United States has had four presidential elections in which the plurality winner of the popular vote was not chosen as president. 5. It would require an Amendment in the U.S. for presidential elections. Lastly, the biggest problem that the Electoral College produces is the reality that a persons vote really doesnt matter (Black). This has occurred in only four of the 58 presidential . April 8, 2016 National popular vote far better than Electoral College system for choosing presidents, Stanford professors say. Home| Government| Elections| Electoral College| Electoral College Pros And Cons. However, many people believe that a direct popular election is more democratic and fair than the Electoral College. This has occurred in 5 of the nation's 56 presidential elections, most recently in 2016. 4. Under the electoral college system, if a state consistently pulls as leaning to one party, someone who supports the other party may not vote because they feel like there isnt a need to do so. Using the NPV system means that every vote counts the same. A direct popular election would make it more possible for third-party candidates to succeed and would also encourage political parties to become more radical and extreme. The votes of those who do not live in closely divided battleground states effectively count less. That would likely reduce the number of voters who cast a ballot in each election as most people are more concerned about local impacts than national policies. Just another site cons of the national popular vote plan . https://www.thoughtco.com/the-national-popular-vote-plan-3322047 (accessed March 4, 2023). June 7, 2022 . To become president of the United States of America, you must be at least 35 years old, have lived in the U.S. for at least 14 years and be a natural-born citizen. 8. During a popular vote, a candidate who withdraws from the race or dies before the election can be held could still be on the ballot. 6. It is not even a liberal or conservative bill. Post author: Post published: June 29, 2022 Post category: Uncategorized Post comments: paris apartment eiffel tower view for sale paris apartment eiffel tower view for sale The electoral college encourages a two-party system and rewards candidates who have broad appeal. At the moment, 98 more electoral votes are needed to pass this bill in all 50 states (National Conference of State Legislators). That is hardly a mandate for governing, though it would be taken as such. 1. Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz often split about 60% of the GOP vote, which allowed Donald Trump to win early primaries with 35% of the vote. Here are the Cons of the Electoral College 1. If the National Popular Vote bill was secured within the American government, it would protect every vote and would allow those votes to equally matter in the presidential election. The appeal of NPV is the simplicity of its message. Since 2008, 15 states and the District of Columbia have passed laws to adopt the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact (NPVIC), which is an multi-state agreement to commit electors to. In 2016, Hillary Clinton had more than 10 million of these votes, while Donald Trump had more than 8.3 million, even though Trump won 30 states and Clinton won 20 and the District of Columbia. In 2016, Gary Johnson received 4.48 million votes and 0 electoral votes, but the potential is always there for this to happen. Like most issues involving politics, the U.S. Constitution is largely silent on the political issues of presidential elections. 9. Electoral college reform proposals include (1) the district plan, awarding each state's two at-large electoral votes to the statewide popular vote winners, and one electoral vote to the winning candidates in each congressional district; (2) the proportional plan, awarding electoral votes in states in direct proportion to the popular vote gained How about receiving a customized one? List of the Cons of Proportional Representation. Under the Electoral College system, voters in states that are overwhelmingly in support of one candidate might feel like their vote is unimportant. That structure makes it easier for extremist views to find official representation. Analyzes how william c. kimberling, the deputy director of the federal election commission, is a credible author over the issue. Change), You are commenting using your Facebook account. As with other powers entrusted to the states, it is an application, not a circumvention, of the Constitution when the states utilize those powers as they see fit. How the National Popular Vote Plan Would Work. The National Popular Vote plan does not do away with the Electoral College system, an action that would require a constitutional amendment. The National Popular Vote compact would have the same effect as a constitutional amendment to abolish the Electoral College but has the benefit of retaining the power to control presidential elections in states hands. Would it aid a fight to eliminate first past the post or would it further entrench the established party system voters American voters have expressed disdain for. But the biggest problem with changing how we elect our president using the NPV Compact is that its too easy to change it back. But don't forget, Bush won the popular vote four years later by three million votes. Because of the winner-take-all rule, a candidate can be elected president without winning the most popular votes nationwide. And in all states but Maine and Nebraska, the candidate who receives the most votes in that state is awarded all of its electoral votes, whether the split is 51% to 49% or 99% to 1%. Cons of Electoral College. 2. Bosque de Palabras The National Popular Vote Interstate Compact collectively apportions votes to the winner of the overall popular vote without a constitutional amendment abolishing the electoral college or the assent of Congress. Under the current structure of the electoral college, the focus of a presidential campaign is on the so-called battleground states. To take effect, the National Popular Vote bill must be enacted by the state legislatures of states controlling a total of 270 electoral votes - a majority of the overall 538 electoral votes and the number currently required to elect a president. on WordPress.com. Should that happen, then the final decision of who gets to serve as President of the United States is taken away from individual voters. A faithless elector in the United States is someone who casts an electoral ballot for someone other than the individuals to whom they are pledged. The compact is designed to ensure that the candidate who receives the most votes nationwide is elected president, and it . In 2016, Florida had 29 electoral votes and 9.4 million voters, created a voter value of 0.72. Battleground states would disappear in U.S. elections. 3. An individuals vote doesnt make a difference when it is counted against the votes of the delegates in the House of Representatives and Senate. In theory we could change how we elect our president every four years. Without the popular vote bill, swing states would continue to get more leverage and attention from candidates to ensure that they would be able to capture their votes. There would be fewer opportunities to illegally alter the results of an election. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Richard F. Potthoff looks critically at a proposed alternative way of electing the US president, the National Popular Vote plan, where all states in an interstate compact which cover 270 or more electoral votes would cast their electoral votes for the candidate who won the nationwide vote, no matter who wins their state. cons of the national popular vote plan. Also the NPV Compact allows states to withdraw from the compact as late as four months before an election. According to the University of Missouri-Kansas City Law School, some proponents of the Electoral College argue that it isolates election problems, such as illegally extended voting hours or irregularly high voter turnout. Our experts will write for you an essay on any topic, with any deadline and requirements from scratch, Electoral College and National Popular Vote Pros and Cons. It isnt impossible to pass a Constitutional amendment, though history shows that it is not an easy process to complete. The alternative view of democracy is more complex; it is one that includes but is not limited to the pursuit of equality. The plan would not get rid of the Electoral College. America is known to have the costliest, prolonged, and complicated structure when electing a head of state. Hence, the National Popular Vote plan is an interstate compact a type of state law authorized by the U.S. Constitution that enables states to enter into a legally enforceable, contractual obligation to undertake agreed joint actions, which may be delayed in implementation until a requisite number of states join in. Under the current structure of presidential elections in the U.S., the states become a battleground of red states vs. blue states. The Electoral College is made up of 538 electors and a majority of 270 electoral votes is mandatory to nominate the President. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Enter your email address to follow this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. As the National Popular Vote (NPV) movement steps up its effort to impose a direct election for president, attempting to enlist states with a sufficient number of electors to constitute a majority (268) and to bind them to the winner of the national popular vote, those states considering the proposal might first reflect on the nightmare aftermath A Critique of the National Popular Vote October 13, 2008 Policy Analysis No. If the election is based off a popular vote, each of these areas would need to be closely examined in real-time, which would enhance the security of each vote that is cast. The Electoral College distorts presidential campaigns . For the popular vote, however, Hillary Clinton received 65.8 million votes, while Donald Trump received 62.9 million votes. This is a situation that has caused controversy in the election years of of 1800, 1876, 1888, 2000 and 2016 when the elected president won the Electoral College and the presidency but did not win the popular vote. Unless the national popular vote was very close, or there were all lot of recounts outstanding, the Compact states in most cases would effectively know what the outcome would be and could be prepared to certify their state votes very quickly to make the Electoral College meeting date deadline. The NPV movement seeks to create an unfair and unconstitutional system that diminishes the voting rights of citizens throughout the country and raises the prospect of increased voter fraud and. That created a voter value of 2.85. Proportional Plan 9. In the case of a tie, there are contingencies in place to determine which person will serve in the elected office. Here are the essential pros and cons of popular vote elections to examine. what connection type is known as "always on"? Under the Electoral College/Winner-Take-All system votes in small states, like Wyoming or Delaware count double what votes in large states like California or Texas. First it would be relatively easy to implement. It would reduce the threshold necessary to win the office. The first advantage allows for electoral votes to be fairer than the Electoral College (Richards). Copyright 2023 Leaf Group Ltd. / Leaf Group Education, Explore state by state cost analysis of US colleges in an interactive article, Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections: The Electoral College, University of the Pacific: Electoral College Reform, University of Missouri-Kansas City Law School: The Electoral College. On average, studies show that falls in line with historical averages showing around 60 percent of eligible voters casting a vote in presidential election years. Definition and Examples, How Political Party Convention Delegates are Chosen, What Is a Caucus? How Many Electoral Votes Does a Candidate Need to Win? Is the National Popular Vote Plan Constitutional? However that presumably rare exception happened in the 2000 election when Florida could not complete their statewide recount in time for the Electoral College deadline and the Supreme Court forced Florida to use their first vote count without a statewide recount. Start and finish your paper with ease. It gives more voting power to individual voters in smaller states. These are the states that may go to either major party candidate in the election. To date, the bill has passed at least one legislative chamber in 9 states possessing 82 combined electoral votes: AR, AZ, ME, MI, MN, NC, NV, OK, and OR. Although many supporters of the electoral college argue that a two-party political system is more stable, some critics counter that having more than two parties would give Americans more choice. Common Cause The NPV Interstate Compact does not eliminate the very complicated Electoral College system that most voters dont really understand. Because its so hard to get an amendment to the Constitution passed that means that once it becomes law it will probably remain so for a long time because the bar to change it back is so high. In contrast, other issues related to the federal government are not exclusively entrusted to the states, and therefore the states lack the power to alter them. The electoral college leads to a heavy emphasis on swing states and also typically over-represents citizens in rural states. When you cast your ballot, you're not actually voting directly for your favored presidential candidate. Using a popular vote system, candidates could campaign regionally, targeting major areas of support, to secure enough votes to win an election. However, this also means that regions with a quite low population density will almost have no influence on the election outcome at all since they only have far too few votes to make a real difference. All other elections in the U.S. are through the popular vote. Under the system of proportional representation, any party with a high enough percentage of the vote will receive a seat in the government. The selection of presidential electors is specifically entrusted to the states by the Constitution. Electing a president who did not have broad regional support could lead to a fractured and less cohesive country, according to the Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Politicians would focus on fewer swing states (Bigger states more potential votes) Where the National Popular Vote Plan Stands. 5. But NPV could force our electors to disregard the wishes of the . Privacy Policy. It gives each vote an equal amount of power. Either would likely produce an electoral vote count closer to the popular vote. The NPVIC is an agreement among states designed to guarantee election of the presidential candidate who wins the most popular votes in the 50 states and Washington, D.C. NPV is grounded in two powers delegated to states by the Constitution: the power to design rules for awarding their electoral votes and the power to enter into interstate The candidate who placed second in the popular vote was elected in 2016, 2000, 1888, 1876, and 1824. This National Popular Vote Compact wouldn't take effect until states with 270 electors a majority joined in. And thats not how it should be in a democracy. (2021, Jun 14). In the U.S., that means people who lean Democratic live in urban areas, while people who lean Republican live in rural areas. The National Bonus Plan was proposed by historian Arthur Schlesinger, Jr. That, in turn, would likely diminish voter turnout. OKLAHOMA CITY Oklahomans will head to the polls March 7 to decide if the state will become the 22nd in the country to legalize recreational marijuana for use by anyone 21 and older. How the US Electoral College System Works, Biography of Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States, What Is Statutory Law? The discussion around using the popular vote for elections has increased since the results of the 2016 election. The National Bonus Plan maintains the Electoral College voting system but adds 102 bonus electoral votes to the existing 538 votes. For example, if a state used NPV and voted for candidate A, but candidate B received the most votes nationwide, the state would allocate its presidential electors to candidate B. In Maine, both houses of the legislature passed the bill in 2019, but it failed at the final enactment step. The one-vote approach does not align with the way the electoral votes operates. Surprisingly enough, the National Popular Vote bill could possibly bring forth some problems. The Electoral College is very undemocratic and riddled with issues. National Popular Vote will create a single member district (all 50 states and D.C.), where the candidate with the most votes wins and . However, a popular vote system, although hard to implement, is a more purely democratic system than the Electoral College. Voters in spectator states, including five of the nations 10 most populous states (California, Texas, New York, Illinois, and New Jersey), and 12 of the 13 least populous states (all but New Hampshire) have no real incentive to go to the polls as their votes do not affect the outcome of the election. Do you have information you want to share with HuffPost. In addition, the bill has been unanimously approved at the committee level in the states of Georgia and Missouri, controlling a combined 27 electoral votes. This move would ensure that the Presidency would be given to the candidate that received the most popular votes all 50 states and the District of Columbia. 4. Due to some states being heavily populated in comparison to others, that may help a candidate quickly obtain a win. Two-thirds of the campaign events were in four states, Florida, Iowa, Virginia, and Ohio, that year. As of July 2020, a National Popular Vote bill has been signed into law in 16 states controlling a total of 196 electoral votes, including 4 small states, 8 medium-sized states, 3 big states (California, Illinois, and New York), and the District of Columbia. The country thinks we are going to elect the president using the Electoral College/Winner-Take-All system tans and then four months before the election we change to the National Popular Vote Compact system and elect the president by whoever gets the most popular votes.

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cons of the national popular vote plan

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cons of the national popular vote plan

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cons of the national popular vote plan

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